The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and runs through November 30, and early forecasts suggest the season will be near-average to slightly below average.

Researchers, including those at North Carolina State University, are predicting 12 to 15 named storms, with 6 to 9 developing into hurricanes. Of those, 2 to 3 are expected to become major hurricanes, meaning Category 3 or higher. While slightly lower activity is anticipated this year, conditions in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico can still support storm development, especially during peak months.

The potential for a less active season is largely tied to the expected presence of El Niño conditions, which can create stronger wind shear and make it more difficult for storms to form and intensify. Even so, history has shown that quieter seasons can still produce impactful storms.

The peak of hurricane activity typically occurs from mid-August to mid-October, making early preparedness essential. It only takes one storm to cause significant damage and disruption to our communities.